The Pound is in freefall and no one has noticed
December 14th, 2008
The decline of the Pound is the great unreported news story of the current times. It has fallen so far now that in previous times it would have been called a devaluation. The Pound reached a new daily record low of 1.1236 Euros on Thursday. That is the lowest level since the euro was launched in 1999.
The pound gained one cent against the US dollar, reaching $1.4967, as against 1.4827 on Wednesday. Sterling was pushed lower after figures from the Confederation of British Industry confirmed a sharp downward trend in manufacturing.
The UK currency is expected to remain under broad selling pressure amid a grim outlook for the British economy.
More important even than the outlook for the economy is that investors have been losing faith in the UK since it now seems to be moving rapidly towards recession.
Contrary to repeated claims by Brown and his cronies, the trouble in the credit markets has hit the UK harder than other countries, especially as the financial sector accounts for a bigger part of the UK economy.
And with consumers having borrowed heavily in the good times, and the government now facing a huge budget deficit, currency traders were in no doubt that the UK economy was in trouble and the time to start selling sterling had arrived.
Another reason is that the Bank of England has cut interest rates in the UK from 5% to 2% in the space of just three months. Rate cuts generally encourage investors to switch to other currencies which have a higher rate of return.
There is some good news; some analysts have expressed doubts that the rise of the euro against the pound is a sustainable trend, particularly if European economies also continue to weaken.
Interest rates have been cut both in the UK and in the eurozone, but they remain higher in the 15-member euro currency area.
But after the Bank of England has made two sharp cuts in rates, bringing them down to 2%, many analysts expect more in the pipeline. Further cuts will lead to further weakening of Sterling.
A weaker pound is better for the UK exporters but is bad news for British holidaymakers who plan to go abroad during the Christmas season, and also makes imported goods more expensive. All those expensive electronic toys are going to be much more expensive this Christmas than last.
In a move welcomed by debt charities across the country, credit card companies have agreed to offer some breathing space to consumers struggling with repayments. The new set of “fair principles” should see the card providers back off from raising interest rates when customers fall into arrears on payments.






